Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000292 0.000326 0.000363 0.000407 0.000456 0.000510 0.000575
2025-01-19 0.000216 0.000262 0.000317 0.000387 0.000474 0.000580 0.000718
2025-01-26 0.000181 0.000234 0.000300 0.000391 0.000513 0.000673 0.000900
2025-02-02 0.000163 0.000221 0.000298 0.000409 0.000569 0.000791 0.001131
2025-02-09 0.000142 0.000200 0.000281 0.000404 0.000590 0.000863 0.001305
2025-02-16 0.000128 0.000187 0.000273 0.000408 0.000621 0.000952 0.001516
2025-02-23 0.000115 0.000173 0.000261 0.000404 0.000640 0.001021 0.001707
2025-03-02 0.000106 0.000164 0.000254 0.000407 0.000668 0.001109 0.001941
2025-03-09 0.000097 0.000154 0.000245 0.000406 0.000689 0.001187 0.002168
2025-03-16 0.000086 0.000140 0.000228 0.000387 0.000678 0.001205 0.002285
2025-03-23 0.000081 0.000134 0.000223 0.000389 0.000703 0.001292 0.002551
2025-03-30 0.000078 0.000132 0.000226 0.000406 0.000756 0.001439 0.002962
2025-04-06 0.000071 0.000124 0.000216 0.000397 0.000761 0.001498 0.003204
2025-04-13 0.000064 0.000113 0.000200 0.000378 0.000744 0.001507 0.003344
2025-04-20 0.000060 0.000108 0.000197 0.000382 0.000775 0.001624 0.003755
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000108 0.000201 0.000400 0.000837 0.001819 0.004397
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000102 0.000194 0.000395 0.000850 0.001903 0.004776
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000099 0.000191 0.000398 0.000881 0.002036 0.005313
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000094 0.000186 0.000395 0.000895 0.002128 0.005758
2025-05-25 0.000046 0.000091 0.000183 0.000397 0.000924 0.002264 0.006361
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000087 0.000179 0.000396 0.000944 0.002379 0.006930
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000081 0.000168 0.000378 0.000919 0.002369 0.007103
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000078 0.000165 0.000380 0.000946 0.002508 0.007797